Signal and the Noise

Regular price €14.55
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A01=Nate Silver
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Author_Nate Silver
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Category1=Non-Fiction
Category=PBT
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Category=PDZM
COP=United Kingdom
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economics
education
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eq_non-fiction
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fooled by randomness
how to lie with statistics
how to make the world add up
how to own the world
introduction to statistics
investing
Language_English
learning numbers
lie to me
math
math gifts
mathematical logic
maths
PA=Reprinting
Price_€10 to €20
PS=Active
self help
softlaunch
statistics
stock market
super forecasting book
super thinking
the art of statistics
the black swan
thinking fast and slow

Product details

  • ISBN 9780141975658
  • Weight: 371g
  • Dimensions: 129 x 198mm
  • Publication Date: 18 Apr 2013
  • Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd
  • Publication City/Country: GB
  • Product Form: Paperback
  • Language: English
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The International Bestseller by 'The Galileo of number crunchers' (Independent)

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. The rise of 'big data' has the potential to help us predict the future, yet much of it is misleading, useless or distracting.

In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can all learn to detect the true signals amid a noise of data.

'Remarkable and rewarding' Matthew D'Ancona, Sunday Telegraph

'A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically' Guardian

Nate Silver is a statistician and political forecaster at The New York Times. In 2012, he correctly predicted the outcome of 50 out of 50 states during the US presidential election, trumping the professional pollsters and pundits. He was named one of TIME's 100 Most Influential People in the world, and one of Rolling Stones' top Agents of Change. He lives in Brooklyn, New York.