Improving Your NCAA® Bracket with Statistics

Regular price €36.50
A01=Tom Adams
Advanced Genetic Algorithms
Advancement Probabilities
Age Group_Uncategorized
Age Group_Uncategorized
Author_Tom Adams
automatic-update
Average ROI
basketball
Categorical Distribution
Category1=Non-Fiction
Category=PBT
Category=SFM
Category=WDP
Category=WSJM
COP=United Kingdom
Correctly Picking
Cumulative Distribution Function
De Moivre
Delivery_Delivery within 10-20 working days
eq_isMigrated=2
eq_non-fiction
eq_sports-fitness
gambling
Higher Win Probability
Home Court Advantage
Language_English
March Madness
Markov Model
NCAA Man’s Basketball Tournament
NCAA Tournament
Office Pools
Opponent Model
Orange Cost
PA=Available
Pool Players
Predictive Rating System
Price_€20 to €50
Probability Matching
PS=Active
Selection Sunday
Simultaneous Linear Equations
SN=ASA-CRC Series on Statistical Reasoning in Science and Society
softlaunch
Team Rankings
Tournament Outcome
Upset Incentives
Win Percentage
Win Probability

Product details

  • ISBN 9781138597747
  • Weight: 235g
  • Dimensions: 138 x 216mm
  • Publication Date: 20 Dec 2018
  • Publisher: Taylor & Francis Ltd
  • Publication City/Country: GB
  • Product Form: Paperback
  • Language: English
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Twenty-four million people wager nearly $3 billion on college basketball pools each year, but few are aware that winning strategies have been developed by researchers at Harvard, Yale, and other universities over the past two decades. Bad advice from media sources and even our own psychological inclinations are often a bigger obstacle to winning than our pool opponents. Profit opportunities are missed and most brackets submitted to pools don’t have a breakeven chance to win money before the tournament begins.

Improving Your NCAA® Bracket with Statistics is both an easy-to-use tip sheet to improve your winning odds and an intellectual history of how statistical reasoning has been applied to the bracket pool using standard and innovative methods. It covers bracket improvement methods ranging from those that require only the information in the seeded bracket to sophisticated estimation techniques available via online simulations. Included are:

  • Prominently displayed bracket improvement tips based on the published research
  • A history of the origins of the bracket pool
  • A history of bracket improvement methods and their results in play
  • Historical sketches and background information on the mathematical and statistical methods that have been used in bracket analysis
  • A source list of good bracket pool advice available each year that seeks to be comprehensive
  • Warnings about common bad advice that will hurt your chances

Tom Adams’ work presenting bracket improvement methods has been featured in the New York Times, Sports Illustrated, and SmartMoney magazine.

Tom Adams is the creator of Poologic, a website that has provided research-based advice on winning bracket pools since 2000. Poologic has been featured in the New York Times, Sports Illustrated, SmartMoney, and other publications. He is a systems analyst who has spent most of his career in scientific research support. He has publications in the area of statistics and probability. He has a BSc in mathematics from the University of North Carolina.