Estimating Risk

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A01=Andy Garlick
advanced risk modelling techniques
analysis
Author_Andy Garlick
Bayesian Networks
Beacon
business
Business Risk Management
Business Risk Modellers
Category=KC
Category=KJC
Central Limit Theorem
cost estimation methods
Cumulative Probability Distribution
decision theory
diagrams
distributions
eq_bestseller
eq_business-finance-law
eq_isMigrated=1
eq_isMigrated=2
eq_nobargain
eq_non-fiction
Hm Treasury
influence
Influence Diagrams
management
Minimal Cut Set
Minor Moderate Major
modelling
MONTE CARLO
NON-LINEAR UTILITY
Part III
PFI Project
premium
probability
public sector risk
quantitative modelling
Quantitative Risk Estimates
register
reliability analysis
Risk Analysis
Risk Management
Risk Model
Risk Models
Risk Premium
Risk Register
Safety Risk Modelling
Schedule Risk Analysis
UK Government Department
Uncertainty Box
uncertainty quantification

Product details

  • ISBN 9781138272675
  • Weight: 480g
  • Dimensions: 174 x 246mm
  • Publication Date: 26 Oct 2016
  • Publisher: Taylor & Francis Ltd
  • Publication City/Country: GB
  • Product Form: Paperback
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Andy Garlick's book explores the role of quantitative techniques in modern risk management. Risk management has grown in importance in most organisations in the last 20 years, but in many remains simply a matter of processing lists of risks and actions. The author argues that this fails to make the most of the techniques available and that organisations can improve their risk decision making by using risk models. His book describes a broad range of modelling techniques, all illustrated by business-relevant examples. The role of the models in decision making is also discussed, with particular emphasis on what the risk premium - the price people charge for accepting risk - is and should be. In order to provide a self contained account the underpinning material from probability and decision theory is also included, so that the book will provide a handy reference guide for all practitioners. The discussion is consistently informal, and the book provides a critical view of the accepted wisdom in risk management. This book will enable managers and their specialist advisors to improve their approach to risk whilst removing the mystique.
Andy Garlick is Managing Director of the independent consultancy, The Risk Agenda (www.riskagenda.com). Andy has twenty five years' experience in risk. This started with work on nuclear risk assessment in the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority. Since then he has held senior positions involving the development of a number of risk consulting businesses. He has worked with clients in the nuclear, transport, oil and gas, chemical and government sectors. His mission during this time has been to make risk methods more accessible and more business-focused. He is also a Fellow of the Institute of Risk Management and is currently acting as secretary of their Special Interest group on PFI/PPP.

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