Game Theory

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A01=Christoph Biermann
analysis
Author_Christoph Biermann
business
Category=SCGP
Category=SFBC
champions league
chance
coaches
coaching
data
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eq_isMigrated=1
eq_isMigrated=2
eq_nobargain
eq_non-fiction
eq_sports-fitness
expected goals
Football
football hackers
forthcoming
game
guardian football weekly
how to win the premier league
luck
managers
marginal gains
math
maths
numbers
performance
probability
rest is football
science
sports journalism
statistics
stats
tactics
totally football show
uncertainty
world cup
xG

Product details

  • ISBN 9781806172689
  • Dimensions: 153 x 234mm
  • Publication Date: 13 Aug 2026
  • Publisher: Bonnier Books Ltd
  • Publication City/Country: GB
  • Product Form: Paperback
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What if what we think about football isn't true: that despite all the efforts of coaches, managers, and players to control chance, it's not uncommon for the wrong teams to be at the top of the table and not the right ones to be relegated?

What if we praise the wrong teams instead of criticizing the right ones? What if Real Madrid had won the Champions League a few too many times and Pep Guardiola a few too few? What if, after a Premier League match, we come up with great theories about 'bogey teams' or about 'the run' a team is currently on because we don't want to admit how random many results really are? And what consequences would that have?

Christoph Biermann has embarked on a search for chance and spoken with coaches, managers, club owners, and mathematicians all over the globe. He has discovered some astonishing things that will change our view of football and how we talk about the magic of the game. This is a deep-dive into theelement of chance in football - the fine margins and the small yet significant moments that completely alter the course of a match and our perceptions of an overall performance.

Christoph Biermann is an award-winning football writer and one of the most respected voices in the field. His books have twice won Football Book of the Year in his native Germany, where he is a reporter for the magazine 11 Freunde.

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