Managing Project Uncertainty

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A01=David Cleden
ambiguity management
Anticipation Strategies
Astute Project Manager
Author_David Cleden
Backward Thinking
baseline
Baseline Plan
Category=KJMP
Completion Date
decision analysis
eq_bestseller
eq_business-finance-law
eq_isMigrated=1
eq_isMigrated=2
eq_nobargain
eq_non-fiction
Follow
forecast
Forecasting Model
Hindsight
Hold
latent
Latent Uncertainty
Learning Cycle
Lifecycle
manager
Managing Project Uncertainty
model
Multiple Explorations
nominal
objectives
OODA Loop
organisational learning
plan
programme planning
project complexity
Project Drivers
Project Manager
representational
resilience strategies
Risk Management
Root Problem
Shewhart Cycle
stakeholder
Superb
Symptomatic Problems
uncertainty reduction techniques
Unknown Unknowns
Wo
Worthwhile

Product details

  • ISBN 9781138460959
  • Weight: 453g
  • Dimensions: 156 x 234mm
  • Publication Date: 28 Jun 2017
  • Publisher: Taylor & Francis Ltd
  • Publication City/Country: GB
  • Product Form: Hardback
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Dealing effectively with uncertainty requires today's project manager to be familiar with a broad spectrum of strategies, encompassing both 'hard' and 'soft' methods. This theme of unified thinking (i.e. the need to selectively draw upon a wide range of strategies in any given situation) will differentiate the book from its contemporaries. By picking up where traditional risk management techniques begin to fail, it brings together leading-edge thinking from a variety of disciplines and shows how these techniques can be used to conquer uncertainty in projects. The ability to make good decisions when faced with uncertainty is the real challenge. It is a universal truth that a decision is only as good as the information it is based on. But good information is often hard to come by, and all projects are vulnerable to the unknown and the unknowable. Thus, uncertainty becomes the sworn enemy of the project manager. Wherever we try to analyse, quantify, plan and act, uncertainty lies in wait to surprise us with its ambiguity and unpredictability. It lurks in every stage of the project lifecycle: in the planning (how long will this really take?), the initiation (this isn't the situation I expected!), the execution (who could have foreseen that happening?), and even the completion of a project (where are the expected benefits?). But managing uncertainty is a lot more than just applying risk management techniques. It requires a deep appreciation of how uncertainty arises and, by recognising its different guises, the appropriate strategies can be formulated. If we can learn how to reduce uncertainty, we can make better management decisions and increase the chances of the project succeeding. This book addresses five key questions: � Why is there uncertainty in projects? � How do you spot the symptoms of uncertainty, preferably at an early stage? � What can be done to avoid uncertainty? � What strategies can be used to deal with project uncertainty? � How
David Cleden is a senior consultant for Northgate Information Solutions, a provider of specialist IT services to the public sector.

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