A01=Dennis Lu-Chung Weng
A01=Taiyi Sun
Author_Dennis Lu-Chung Weng
Author_Taiyi Sun
Category=JPS
China
eq_bestseller
eq_isMigrated=1
eq_isMigrated=2
eq_nobargain
eq_non-fiction
eq_society-politics
foreign policy analysis
shows of force
Sino-U.S. relationship
Thucydides Trap
Yizhou Dilemma
Product details
- ISBN 9781666965001
- Weight: 454g
- Dimensions: 152 x 229mm
- Publication Date: 15 Dec 2024
- Publisher: Bloomsbury Publishing Plc
- Publication City/Country: US
- Product Form: Hardback
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The Myth of War in the Taiwan Strait: Elite Perspectives from Beijing, Taipei, and Washington amid the Yizhou Dilemma proposes a new framework of the “Yizhou dilemma” to capture the conundrum faced by a hegemony (the U.S.), a rising power (Mainland China), and the weaker third entity (Taiwan) crucial to the rising power’s ascendance. Taiyi Sun and Dennis Lu-Cheng Weng, drawing evidence from the assessments and perceptions of directly involved elites from Beijing, Taipei, and Washington, argue war is not imminent, yet action or inaction by each party could potentially lead to detrimental outcomes. For the rising power, overexpansion incurs significant costs, but restraint makes it unable to attain “major power status.” Consequently, low-cost symbolic shows of force are more likely than a full invasion of the third entity. For the strategically vital yet relatively weaker entity, asserting autonomy and independence to put up a fight would risk escalating tension and trigger aggressive behaviors from the rising power. Yet, maintaining the status quo would allow the rising power to continue strengthening itself so that a coerced unification unfavorable to the weaker entity could become more probable. For the hegemony, leaving more looming challenges elsewhere unresolved could diminish the power of the hegemony, but getting involved leads to even more challenges.
Dr. Taiyi Sun is associate professor of political science at Christopher Newport University.
Dr. Dennis Lu-Chung Weng is associate professor of political science at Sam Houston State University and the founding director of the Asia Pacific Peace Research Institute (APPRI).
