Presidential Primaries and the Dynamics of Public Choice
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A01=Larry M. Bartels
Addition
Adviser
American Enterprise Institute
Approval voting
Author_Larry M. Bartels
Ballot
Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
Calculation
Candidate
Category=JPH
Caucus
Chairman
Delegate
Election
Enthusiasm
eq_bestseller
eq_isMigrated=1
eq_isMigrated=2
eq_nobargain
eq_non-fiction
eq_society-politics
Estimation
Frank Church
Front-runner
Gary Hart
General election
George McGovern
Hubert Humphrey
Ideology
Incumbent
Iowa caucuses
Jimmy Carter
Major party
Majority
Name recognition
National Science Foundation
New Deal coalition
New Hampshire primary
Newspaper
Newsweek
Nomination
Opinion poll
Organizing principle
Parameter
Party leader
Percentage
Percentage point
Political campaign
Political party
Political science
Politician
Politics
Primary election
Probability
Proportional representation
Public choice
Quantity
Republican Party (United States)
Respondent
Result
Richard Nixon
Richard Wirthlin
Ronald Reagan
Standard error
Suggestion
Super Tuesday
Supermajority
The New York Times
Theory
Thermometer
Threshold model
Uncertainty
Unemployment
United States presidential primary
Urbanization
Voting
Walter Mondale
Writing
Product details
- ISBN 9780691022833
- Weight: 567g
- Dimensions: 152 x 229mm
- Publication Date: 21 May 1988
- Publisher: Princeton University Press
- Publication City/Country: US
- Product Form: Paperback
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This innovative study blends sophisticated statistical analyses, campaign anecdotes, and penetrating political insight to produce a fascinating exploration of one of America's most controversial political institutions--the process by which our major parties nominate candidates for the presidency. Larry Bartels focuses on the nature and impact of "momentum" in the contemporary nominating system. He describes the complex interconnections among primary election results, expectations, and subsequent primary results that have made it possible for candidates like Jimmy Carter, George Bush, and Gary Hart to emerge from relative obscurity into political prominence in recent nominating campaigns. In the course of his analysis, he addresses questions central to any understanding--or evaluation--of the modern nominating process. How do fundamental political predispositions influence the behavior of primary voters? How quickly does the public learn about new candidates? Under what circumstances will primary success itself generate subsequent primary success? And what are the psychological processes underlying this dynamic tendency?
Professor Bartels examines the likely consequences of some proposed alternatives to the current nominating process, including a regional primary system and a one-day national primary. Thus the work will be of interest to political activists, would-be reformers, and interested observers of the American political scene, as well as to students of public opinion, voting behavior, the news media, campaigns, and electoral institutions.
Larry M. Bartels is University Distinguished Professor of Political Science and Law and May Werthan Shayne Chair of Public Policy and Social Science at Vanderbilt University. His books include Unequal Democracy: The Political Economy of the New Gilded Age and (with Christopher H. Achen) Democracy for Realists: Why Elections Do Not Produce Responsive Government (both Princeton).
