Psychology of Successful Trading

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A01=Tim Short
Affective Forecasting
Affective Mismatch
Author_Tim Short
Availability Heuristic
belief
Bias Mismatch
Category=KFFM
Category=VSC
CBOE VIX
Clustering Illusion
cognitive heuristics
Complex Information Environment
Confirmation Bias
Conformity Bias
conformity effects
Dark Triad
Efficient Markets Theory
English Premier League
eq_bestseller
eq_business-finance-law
eq_isMigrated=1
eq_isMigrated=2
eq_nobargain
eq_non-fiction
eq_self-help
error
Expected Utility Theory
false
False Belief Task
False Consensus Effect
financial market behavior
Gambler's Fallacy
Gambler’s Fallacy
Gdp Ratio
Hindsight Bias
mind
Mind Task
Naturalistic Decision Maker
overconfidence bias
philosophical psychology
predicting trader bias in finance
Representativeness Heuristic
Self-Presentation Bias
Simulation Theory
Studied Option Pricing
task
theory of mind
Vice Versa

Product details

  • ISBN 9781138096288
  • Weight: 272g
  • Dimensions: 152 x 229mm
  • Publication Date: 20 Nov 2017
  • Publisher: Taylor & Francis Ltd
  • Publication City/Country: GB
  • Product Form: Paperback
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This book is the first to demonstrate the practical implications of an important, yet under-considered area of psychology in helping traders and investors understand the biases and attribution errors that drive unpredictable behaviour on the trading floor. Readers will improve their chances of trading successfully by learning where cognitive biases lead to errors in stock analysis and how these biases can be used to predict behavior in market participants.

Focusing on the three major types of bias—Belief-Formation, Quasi-Economic, and Social—the book provides a rigorous discussion of the literature before explaining how each of these biases plays out in financial markets. The author brings together the fields of philosophical psychology and behavioral finance to introduce "theory of mind," providing readers with tools to predict biases in others as well as using these predictions to form optimal trading strategies for themselves. Readers will also learn to understand their own behaviors, counteracting biases such as overconfidence and conformity—and the "curse" of their own knowledge—to strengthen trade performance. Pairing his skill and experience with an extensive research bibliography, Short positions the foundational sources of cognitive biases alongside concrete examples, experimental designs, and trader’s anecdotes, helping readers to apply theoretical guidelines to real-life scenarios.

Shrewd professionals and MBA students will benefit from The Psychology of Successful Trading’s intuitive structure and practical focus.

Tim Short spent almost a decade on the trading floor of several investment banks. He is the author of Simulation Theory, published by Routledge in 2015.

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