Product details
- ISBN 9781916966512
- Dimensions: 129 x 198mm
- Publication Date: 22 Jul 2024
- Publisher: The Conrad Press
- Publication City/Country: GB
- Product Form: Paperback
- Language: English
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'The Keys to Downing Street' is an utterly unique guide to British General Elections, offering a refreshingly penetrating insight into how our democracy works.
The book is both a history book, graphically bringing to life the political history of the United Kingdom since 1945, and a guide to forecasting our political future. It is an adaptation of Professor Alan Lichtman's brilliant American Presidential forecasting method to the UK political system. Lichtman's 'Keys' have correctly forecast every US Presidential election since 1984, and now, with his kind permission, the wisdom of his methodology is now shedding light on the political process this side of the pond.
Although the unexpected return of Nigel Farage to the forefront of British politics during the 2024 campaign came too late to be incorporated into the forecast for the 2024 election, the author did publicise an updated forecast in the days before the poll. He predicted a Labour majority of 170 - they actually got one of 174!
Tom Fisher lives on the south coast of England and has been fascinated by British politics for over thirty years. This is his first book on the subject, though he also has a poetry collection coming out later in 2024. He is also an actor, and his political and theatrical interests converged in 2022, when he played the part of Boris Johnson in the COVID satire musical, 'Scotch Egg'.
