Science of Conjecture

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A01=James Franklin
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Author_James Franklin
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Category1=Non-Fiction
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European History
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philosophy of mathematics
philosophy of science
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probability
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science and technology
shipwrecks
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Product details

  • ISBN 9781421418803
  • Weight: 794g
  • Dimensions: 156 x 235mm
  • Publication Date: 26 Sep 2015
  • Publisher: Johns Hopkins University Press
  • Publication City/Country: US
  • Product Form: Paperback
  • Language: English
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How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.
James Franklin is a professor in the School of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of New South Wales.

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