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B01=Andrey Korotayev
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B01=Ilya Ilyin
B01=Leonid Grinin
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B01=Viktor Sadovnichy
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Reconsidering the Limits to Growth: A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome

English

Echoing the famous The Limits to Growth report from 1972, this edited volume analyses the changes that the World System has undergone to the present, on the fiftieth anniversary of the original report. During the past fifty years, both the concept and understanding of these limits have significantly changed. This book highlights that the evolution of the World System has approached a new critical milestone, moving into a fundamentally new phase of historical development, when the old economic and social technologies no longer work as efficiently as before or even begin to function counterproductively, which leads the World System into a systemic crisis. 

The book discusses the transition of human society to a new phase state, the shape of which has not yet been determined. New approaches are needed for both, for the analysis of the global situation, and for forecasts. The book is based on an integrated approach including the world-systems, historical and evolutionaryperspectives, as well as a systematic view of society, in which changes in one subsystem cause transformations in others. Through mathematical modeling, it defines the main vectors of transformations of the World System; makes a detailed forecast of the development of all the main subsystems of the society and the World System, while presenting horizons of changes from short-term to ultra-long-term; and presents different development scenarios as well as recommendations on how to achieve a transition to the most favorable scenario. 

The book will appeal to members and followers of the Club of Rome, policy-makers, as well as to scholars from various disciplines interested in a better understanding of the World System evolution, global futures, development studies, climate change, and future societies. 

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Age Group_Uncategorizedautomatic-updateB01=Andrey KorotayevB01=Askar AkaevB01=Ilya IlyinB01=Leonid GrininB01=Sergey MalkovB01=Viktor SadovnichyCategory1=Non-FictionCategory=GTFCategory=JFFSCategory=JHBDCategory=KCGCategory=PSAFCategory=RNPGCategory=RNUCOP=SwitzerlandDelivery_Pre-orderLanguage_EnglishPA=Not yet availablePrice_€100 and abovePS=Activesoftlaunch

Will deliver when available. Publication date 18 Oct 2024

Product Details
  • Dimensions: 155 x 235mm
  • Publication Date: 27 Sep 2024
  • Publisher: Springer International Publishing AG
  • Publication City/Country: Switzerland
  • Language: English
  • ISBN13: 9783031350016

About

Viktor Sadovnichy is a Professor of physics and mathematics and the Rector of Lomonosov Moscow State University (Russia) since 1992 as well as a Full Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences. His main research focuses on mathematics mechanics and computer science. Sadovnichy's research relates to the theory of differential operators and functional analysis as well as mathematical modeling of long-term social and economic dynamics. He has obtained important theoretical and applied results related to the issues of dynamic simulation of controlled flights in particular of spacecraft and aircraft. The development of the world's first zero-gravity simulator for Earth conditions was based on this work. Askar Akaev is the First President of the Kyrgyz Republic and a Foreign Full Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences. He works as Chief Research Professor at the Prigogine Institute for Mathematical Investigations of Complex Systems at the Moscow State University (Russia). He further is an Academic Supervisor of the Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis at HSE University Moscow (Russia). Askar Akaev has authored and co-authored over 300 scientific publications including such monographs as Coherent Optical Computers (1977) Optical Methods of Information Processing (1983) Holographic Memory (1996) Selected Lectures on Optical Computers (1996) Economic Transition from the Point of View of a Physicist. A Mathematical Model of Emerging Economy (2000) Modeling and Forecasting the World Dynamics (2012) Quality of Education Effectiveness of R&D and Economic Growth. Quantitative Analysis and Mathematical Modeling (2016) among others.  Ilya Ilyin is a Professor and Head of the Department of Global Studies as well as the Dean of the Faculty of Global Studies at Moscow State University (Russia). He is the author of more than 350 academic papers. Ilyin is the Chairman of the Presidium of the Societyfor Global Studies President of the International Public Organization for the Promotion of Public Diplomacy Scientific Educational and Youth Cooperation Eurasian Commonwealth Chief Scientific Secretary of the International Academy of Global Studies Chairman of the Russian Committee and Vice President of the Intergovernmental Council for the UNESCO Program Management of Social Transformations MOST an honorary worker in the field of state youth policy and education as well as Editor-in-Chief of the journal Bulletin of Moscow University. Series 27. Global Studies and Geopolitics. Sergey Malkov heads the Center for Long-Term Forecasting and Strategic Planning at the Moscow State University (Russia). He also works as a Senior Research Professor at the Institute of Economics Russian Academy of Sciences and Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis at the HSE University in Moscow (Russia). Malkov is the author of over 300 scholarly publications including among others: Social self-organization and historical process: possibilities of mathematical modeling (URSS 2009) Modeling and forecasting of world dynamics (ISPI RAS 2012 with V. A. Sadovnichy et. al) A new theory of the reproduction of capital: development and practical application (Nestor-Istoriya 2016 together with V. I. Mayevsky and others) The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures. A Big History Perspective (Springer 2020 with David J. LePoire et. al). Leonid Grinin is a Senior Research Professor at the Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis at the HSE University in Moscow (Russia) as well as a Senior Research Professor at the Oriental Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences. He is co-editor of the international journals Social Evolution & History and the Journal of Globalization Studies as well as co-editor of the international almanacs History & Mathematics Evolution and Kondratieff Waves. He is the author of more than 600 publicationsincluding 30 books in Russian English and Chinese. His current research focuses on comparative political studies theory of revolution political anthropology global economy global history historical sociology and futurology. In 2012 he was awarded the Gold Kondratieff Medal by the International N. D. Kondratieff Foundation. Andrey Korotayev heads the Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis at the HSE University in Moscow (Russia). He further is a Senior Research Professor at the Institute of Oriental Studies and Institute for African Studies Russian Academy of Sciences as well as at the Faculty of Global Studies of the Lomonosov Moscow State University (Russia) and the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration. He has authored or co-authored over 650 scholarly publications including books such as Ancient Yemen (Oxford University Press 1995) World Religions and Social Evolution of the Old World Oikumene Civilizations: A Cross-Cultural Perspective (The Edwin Mellen Press 2004) Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth (URSS 2006; with Daria Khaltorina and Artemy Malkov) Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends (URSS 2006; with Daria Khaltorina and Artemy Malkov) Great Divergence and Great Convergence. A Global Perspective (Springer 2015; with Leonid Grinin) Economic Cycles Crises and the Global Periphery (Springer 2016; with Leonid Grinin) Islamism Arab Spring and the Future of Democracy. World System and World Values Perspectives (Springer 2019; with Leonid Grinin and Arno Tausch). He is a laureate of a Russian Science Support Foundation for The Best Economists of the Russian Academy of Sciences Nomination (2006); in 2012 he was awarded the Gold Kondratieff Medal by the International N. D. Kondratieff Foundation.

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